It's a Question of When

Despite her public posture, several Clinton advisers told the NY Times that "how long she would stay in the race was an open question." And "top Clinton fund-raisers said that the campaign was all but over and suggested that she was simply buying time on Wednesday to determine if she could raise enough money" and win over superdelegates.

Another Clinton adviser told the Washington Post's Chris Cillizza "I believe there is no path to victory. I also believe she wants to see a Democrat win in November and she will do the right thing."

Economists Say Clinton-McCain Gas Tax Holiday Proposal Would Boost Price of Gas

In her continuing impersonation of a Republican, Hillary Clinton has adopted two perennial Republican tactics: pandering, and calling for tax cuts.

Clinton and McCain have proposed suspending the 18.4 cents per gallon federal gas tax during the summer. The tax funds the Highway Trust Fund used to maintain highways and bridges. Economists noted that, because refineries can't increase their capacity in the space of a few months, suspending the tax would increase demand, benefiting oil companies not consumers.

Clinton Attacks Result In ... Superdelegates and Fundraisers Defecting to Obama

Today Indianapolis native and superdelegate Joe Andrew, who had been appointed chairman of the Democratic National Committee by Bill Clinton, switched his endorsement from Hillary to Obama. In his announcement he suggested Hillary's campaign was harmful to the Democratic party:

I am convinced that the primary process has devolved to the point that it's now bad for the Democratic Party.... [A] vote for Hillary Clinton is a vote to continue this process, and a vote to continue this process is a vote that assists (Republican) John McCain.

What 'Tide Is Turning'? Laundry Detergent?

The new Hillary babble phrase is apparently "the tide is turning." Yet despite her single digit win in PA -- yes, it's officially 9.2% as of 11am EST -- she still trails in pledged delegates, money, and votes.

The Atlantic's Marc Ambinder speculates that the narrow Clinton victory in PA may spur more superdelegates to declare for Obama. Perhaps proving his point, the Daily Oklahoman reported that Gov. Brad Henry, "who said earlier he would not endorse a Democratic presidential candidate until this summer's national convention, announced this morning he is supporting Barack Obama."

The Nonsense About "Electability"

The progressive think tank, The Rockridge Institute, which unfortunately announced this week that it will close, has an excellent debunking of "electability" that we reproduce below in its entirety. (See also our Debunking the Big State Myth.)

Ask Rockridge: Who the Hell Knows Today Who Will Be Electable in November?
Created by bruce_at_rockridge (Rockridge Institute staff member) on Sunday, January 6, 2008 05:38 PM

The perception of electability rests on a witch's brew of fact, impression, media-promoted narratives, and stargazing.

We recently received this question:

"I would enjoy an in-depth discussion, but what I'm really looking for is an effective single sentence counterframe to: 'Candidate X is a great guy/gal but s/he is just not electable.'"

The suggestion that a particular candidate is not electable could mean several things. One meaning might be that the candidate is "too liberal" and that to be electable a candidate must be a moderate or centrist. We have written in Thinking Points about what we call the "label myth." This myth is based on the popular but mistaken metaphorical understanding of a linear order of political worldviews, about which we have also written here and here. It suggests that each of our sets of political views places us somewhere along this right-to-left linear scale. Further, politicians, pundits and the media have all contributed to the idea that the center, where the "moderates" lie, is the reasonable or balanced point of view and it is where a candidate's positions must fall in order to be electable. We reject this idea.

Bill Clinton Tapes Comment That Obama Campaign "Played Race Card," Then Denies He Said It

In an apparent continuing exegesis of "what the meaning of is is," Bill Clinton told WHYY radio's Susan Phillips that the Obama campaign had "played the race card" against him after Clinton compared Barack Obama to Jesse Jackson after Obama won the South Carolina primary, and then denied saying it. The next day an NBC/NJ reporter asked Clinton what he meant by the remark, to which Clinton responded:

That’s not what I said. You always follow me around and play these little games, and I’m not going to play your games today. This is a day about election day. Go back and see what the question was, and what my answer was. You have mischaracterized it to get another cheap story to divert the American people from the real urgent issues before us, and I choose not to play your game today.

On Pennsylvania Primary Day Obama Widens National Lead in Gallup Poll, Clinton Seen As Negative

The most recent USA Today/Gallup poll finds Barack Obama with a 10 percentage point lead over Hillary Clinton nationally, 50% to 40%. That's up 3 percent from last month. Key findings:

Efforts by Clinton and John McCain ... to characterize Obama as elitist for his remarks at a San Francisco fundraiser seem to have failed. Seven of 10 say Obama "respects working-class Americans" rather than looks down on them — a slightly more positive reading than that for McCain or Clinton.

Clinton Campaign Staff Troubles Continue

The New Republic has a detailed account of the continuing turmoil among Clinton campaign staff and advisers.

The article's conclusion:
... the campaign continues to suffer regular defections, as exhausted, dispirited staffers take their leave. In addition to high-profile resignations by deputy campaign manager Mike Henry and director of operations Jessica O'Connell, lesser-known hands have been trickling out as well. Recent departures included Carolyn Hahn, director of correspondence; Sasha Bruce, Jason Houser, and Alea Brown from Guy Cecil's political shop; Crystal Patterson and Kevin Thurman from the Web team; and Hailey Arends, Matt McQueeney, and Lauren Fitterman from Compliance and Accounting. As they head out the door, refugees say they're fielding numerous calls from other folks thinking of following them....

Pennsylvania Tuesday

The AP's David Espo writes that "Time is running out on Hillary Rodham Clinton, the long-ago front-runner for the Democratic presidential nomination who now trails Barack Obama in delegates, states won and popular votes." Noting that since Obama's highly-publicized remarks about Americans who feel that Washington has forgotten them he has gained six superdelegates, Espo writes "There's little if any public evidence the party's elite, the superdelegates who will attend the convention, are buying" Hillary's "unprovable" argument that she is more electable.

Results of Clinton's Obama Bashing: Obama Gains a 2-1 Edge In Electability

The ABC News Washington Post poll shows that by a 10-point margin Democrats would prefer Obama as the party's nominee, and is considered more "electable" in the general contest by 2-1.

... public impressions of [Hillary Clinton] have taken a sharply negative turn. Today, more Americans have an unfavorable view of her than at any time since The Post and ABC began asking the question, in 1992. Impressions of her husband, former president Bill Clinton, also have grown negative by a small margin.

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